Bitcoin Marketcap

$897B

Gold Marketcap

$10.33T

BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$14.94B

BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.80%

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KEY MARKETS

24hr change

Bitcoin

$48,137  πŸ“ˆ

+$692.28

+1.46%


S&P 500

3,852  πŸ“ˆ

+79.12

+2.10%


Gold

$1,699  πŸ“ˆ

+$2.87

+0.17%


Silver

$25.24  πŸ“‰

-$0.01

-0.02%


Euro

$1.1916  πŸ“‰

-$0

-0.15%


Yen

Β₯108.41  πŸ“‰

-Β₯0.12

-0.11%


Renminbi (CNY)

Β₯6.4968   

+Β₯0.01

+0.16%


Oil (WTI)

$66.23  πŸ“ˆ

+$0.98

+1.50%


BITCOIN STATS

Bitcoin Marketcap

$897B


BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.80%


% Supply Issued

88.79%


BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$14.94B


Real Exchange Volume (24hr)

$7.67B


Active Addresses

1.15M


Mining Reward Value (24hr)

$44.1M


GBTC Premium

-5.99%


MSTR Premium

15.25%


BTC Down From ATH

17.30%


BTC Up From Cycle Low

11.42%


RATES & YIELDS

24hr change

UST 3mo

0.04%  πŸ“‰

-0.01

-20%


UST 2yr

0.14%  πŸ“ˆ

+0.01

+7.69%


UST 10yr

1.47%  πŸ“ˆ

+0.05

+3.52%


UST 30yr

2.25%  πŸ“ˆ

+0.04

+1.81%


Fed Funds (EFFR)

0.07%  πŸ“ˆ

+0

0%


RATIOS

24hr change

Gold:BTC (marketcap)

11.51x   

-0.15

-1.32%


M2:BTC (marketcap)

21.64x   

-0.36

-1.64%


BTC:Oil (price)

726.77x   

+0.01

+0.00%


Gold:Oil (price)

25.66x   

-0.29

-1.12%


US GOVERNMENT STATS

30-day change

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

$7.56T  πŸ“ˆ

+$147B

+1.98%


M1 Money Supply

$6.81T  πŸ“ˆ

+$13.80B

+0.20%


M2 Money Supply

$19.41T  πŸ“‰

 

-0.68%


BTC ROI

Bitcoin & Traditional Assets ROI (vs USD)

BTC vs Traditional Assets ROI:

 

Bitcoin

Gold

S&P 500

1 year:

+433%

+2%

+37%

2 year:

+1,153%

+32%

+41%

3 year:

+368%

+27%

+41%

4 year:

+3,942%

+40%

+63%

5 year:

+11,536%

+35%

+93%

6 year:

+17,384%

+46%

+86%

7 year:

+7,558%

+27%

+105%

8 year:

+113,094%

+8%

+149%

9 year:

+976,960%

--0%

+181%

10 year:

+5,348,846%

+19%

+195%

Data Source: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This shows bitcoin's ROI vs other potential inflation hedge assets.

Why it matters: As with the historical bitcoin price table, we see bitcoin's extreme outperformance vs other assets here as well. Bitcoin's relatively small size, plus fundamental properties, yield extreme outperformance when even relatively small funds-flows find their way to BTC.

BTC DAYS ABOVE PRICE

Bitcoin Price Closing History by Level

Days Bitcoin Closed Above:

Price

Days Above

% of Bitcoin's Life

$50,000

7

0.16%

$48,136

15

0.34%

$40,000

28

0.63%

$30,000

63

1.42%

$20,000

80

1.80%

$10,000

385

8.66%

Data Sources: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This the number of days in which bitcoin "closed" (trading level at midnight UTC) above various price levels.

Why it matters: This can give a sense of where bitcoin is currently trading relative to past cycles.

SHARPE 5yr

DOUBLING TIME

THE BITCOIN LIBRARY

6 May 2020 | Paul Tudor Jones | Price when published: $9,089 (ROI since: +430%)

May 2020 BVI Letter - Macro Outlook

Filed under: topic icon fundamentals  medium icon articles

Paul Tudor Jones lays out the case for bitcoin. First describing where the world sits from a macro-economic perspective, PTJ takes us through he and his firm's process of arriving at the specific trades to position for the world we're now in. He concludes that bitcoin has by far the best expected-value against all other assets which can meaningfully serve as a store of value in an inflationary economic regime.

EXCERPT

"At the end of the day, the best profit-maximizing strategy is to own the fastest horse. Just own the best performer and not get wed to an intellectual side that might leave you weeping in the performance dust because you thought you were smarter than the market. If I am forced to forecast, my bet is it will be Bitcoin."

"What was surprising to me was not that Bitcoin came in last, but that it scored as high as it did. Bitcoin had an overall score nearly 60% of that of financial assets but has a market cap that is 1/1200th of that. It scores 66% of gold as a store of value, but has a market cap that is 1/60th of gold’s outstanding value. Something appears wrong here and my guess is it is the price of Bitcoin"

"Bitcoin reminds me of gold when I first got in the business in 1976."


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