Bitcoin Marketcap

$738B

Gold Marketcap

$10.98T

BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$8.73B

BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.79%

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KEY MARKETS

24hr change

Bitcoin

$39,281  📈

+$1,089

+2.85%


S&P 500

4,401  📉

-10.22

-0.23%


Gold

$1,807  📉

-$0.51

-0.03%


Silver

$25.38  📉

-$0.13

-0.51%


Euro

$1.1843  📉

-$0

-0.2%


Yen

¥109.55  📈

+¥0.59

+0.54%


Renminbi (CNY)

¥6.4662   

-¥0

-0.06%


Oil (WTI)

$68.98  📉

-$1.47

-2.09%


BITCOIN STATS

Bitcoin Marketcap

$738B


BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.79%


% Supply Issued

89.40%


BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$8.73B


Real Exchange Volume (24hr)

$6.01B


Active Addresses

820,918


Mining Reward Value (24hr)

$36.0M


GBTC Premium

-6.63%


MSTR Premium

47.13%


BTC Down From ATH

39.18%


BTC Up From Cycle Low

34.46%


RATES & YIELDS

24hr change

UST 3mo

0.05%  📉

-0.01

-16.67%


UST 2yr

0.19%  📉

-0.01

-5%


UST 10yr

1.24%  📉

-0.04

-3.13%


UST 30yr

1.89%  📉

-0.02

-1.05%


Fed Funds (EFFR)

0.10%  📈

+0.03

+42.86%


US 10yr Breakeven Inflation

2.38%  📈

+0.01

+0.42%


Real Rate (10yr)

-1.13%  📈

-0.01

-0.89%


RATIOS

24hr change

Gold:BTC (marketcap)

14.90x   

-0.43

-2.77%


M2:BTC (marketcap)

27.63x   

-0.79

-2.78%


BTC:Oil (price)

569.72x   

+27.71

+5.11%


Gold:Oil (price)

26.19x   

+0.54

+2.12%


US GOVERNMENT STATS

30-day change

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

$8.22T  📈

+$143B

+1.77%


M1 Money Supply

$19.27T  📈

+$46.40B

+0.24%


M2 Money Supply

$20.39T  📈

+$18.80B

+0.09%


BTC ROI

Bitcoin & Traditional Assets ROI (vs USD)

BTC vs Traditional Assets ROI:

 

Bitcoin

Gold

S&P 500

1 year:

+251%

-12%

+33%

2 year:

+245%

+22%

+53%

3 year:

+463%

+48%

+55%

4 year:

+1,183%

+42%

+78%

5 year:

+6,719%

+35%

+102%

6 year:

+14,013%

+66%

+110%

7 year:

+6,631%

+38%

+129%

8 year:

+40,081%

+41%

+158%

9 year:

+361,997%

+12%

+214%

10 year:

+526,280%

+10%

+267%

Data Source: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This shows bitcoin's ROI vs other potential inflation hedge assets.

Why it matters: As with the historical bitcoin price table, we see bitcoin's extreme outperformance vs other assets here as well. Bitcoin's relatively small size, plus fundamental properties, yield extreme outperformance when even relatively small funds-flows find their way to BTC.

BTC DAYS ABOVE PRICE

Bitcoin Price Closing History by Level

Days Bitcoin Closed Above:

Price

Days Above

% of Bitcoin's Life

$40,000

109

2.37%

$39,280

113

2.46%

$30,000

213

4.64%

$20,000

231

5.03%

$10,000

536

11.66%

Data Sources: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This the number of days in which bitcoin "closed" (trading level at midnight UTC) above various price levels.

Why it matters: This can give a sense of where bitcoin is currently trading relative to past cycles.

SHARPE 5yr

DOUBLING TIME

More Monetization - Fed Biggest Buyer of US Treasuries in 2020


 

Lyn Alden notes on twitter:

YTD through June, over $3T in net Treasury issuance occurred for stimulus, and foreigners only bought $194B. So, the percent of US federal debt held by the foreign sector has dropped to the lowest percentage in over a decade, and the biggest buyer during this year was the Fed.

tldr

  • This is more data showing how deeply supportive of markets the Fed has become.
  • They are being forced to buy most new bond issuance, given lack of demand from other sources.
  • This amounts to fairly direct monetization of the debt, which almost always has extremely inflationary results.

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THE INVESTMENT CASE FOR BITCOIN

All you need to read to understand the investment case for bitcoin.

Bitcoin reminds me of gold when I first got into the business in 1976

- Paul Tudor Jones, Hedge Fund Manager

Frankly, if the gold bet works, the bitcoin bet will probably work better

- Stanley Druckenmiller - hedge fund manager

Bitcoin is a technological tour de force

- Bill Gates, Founder - Microsoft

[people] use [bitcoin] more as an alternative to gold. It’s a speculative store of value.

- Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chairman

There are 3 eras of currency: commodity based, politically based, and now, math based.

- Chris Dixon - Tech Investor, A16Z

Bitcoin may be the TCP/IP of money.

- Paul Buchheit - Gmail Creator

If they become widely accepted, virtual currencies could have a substitution effect on central bank money.

- European Central Bank - 2012

Bitcoin is Gold 2.0, a huge, huge deal.

- Chamath Palihapitiya - Founder & CEO Social Capital

I think every major bank, every major investment bank, every major high net worth firm is going to eventually have some exposure to bitcoin or what’s like it

- Bill Miller - Former Chainman & CIO, Legg Mason Capital

Bitcoin is money, everything else is credit.

- JP Morgan - 1912

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